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New government regulations aimed at cooling the executive condominium (EC) market are inadvertently boosting interest in upcoming EC projects that are exempt from these stricter rules. Analysts predict these projects, which were sold before the policy changes, will see strong buyer demand as they offer a more flexible purchasing environment compared to newly regulated developments.

Key Takeaways

  • Upcoming EC projects sold before new regulations are exempt, attracting buyers.
  • New rules include a 10-year Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) and the scrapping of deferred payment schemes.
  • Developers of exempted projects are expected to benefit from increased pricing power.

New Regulations Impact EC Market

The government recently introduced several measures to curb soaring EC prices and moderate land bids. These include extending the Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) for EC units from five to 10 years, eliminating the deferred payment scheme for new EC projects, and increasing the quota for first-time buyers from 70% to 90%, with an extended priority period of two years.

These changes apply to EC projects on government land sale sites with tender closing dates on or after May 8. The aim is to encourage developers to reduce land bids and EC prices, as they can only sell 90% of units to first-timers within the first 39 months of site award.

Exempted Projects See ‘Bonus’ Advantage

Five upcoming EC projects, whose sites were sold before the announcement of the new rules, will not be subject to these tighter regulations. These projects, expected to yield around 1,970 units with launches slated from the second half of 2026 to 2027, are anticipated to experience robust sales. Developers of these projects are seen as receiving an "unexpected bonus" due to the strengthened pricing power.

Notable projects include those by City Developments Ltd (CDL) in Senja Close and Woodlands, a Woodlands site awarded to Sim Lian, a Sembawang Road plot by JBE Holdings, and a Miltonia Close parcel acquired by Hoi Hup Realty.

Market Trends and Analyst Views

Median prices for new ECs have surged significantly, outpacing the rise in comparable suburban private condominiums. Analysts believe the extended MOP is a necessary adjustment to align ECs with public housing frameworks and to curb speculative gains, as many EC owners have been reselling their units for substantial profits shortly after the five-year MOP.

The removal of the deferred payment scheme is considered a major change, as over 75% of buyers in recent EC launches opted for this scheme. Its absence may deter some upgraders with existing housing loans and could slightly depress headline EC prices.

Furthermore, the increased quota for first-time buyers aims to "level the playing field" for those without the financial advantage of second-time buyers, whose proportion has been falling as EC prices climbed.

Future Outlook

Developers are expected to adopt a cautious approach in future land tenders due to market uncertainties and potential impacts on initial sales take-up rates. The first EC projects to fall under the new, stricter rules will be those on sites tendered in May and June. The longer MOP is also predicted to eventually reduce the supply of younger resale ECs, potentially redirecting buyers towards the private condo market.

Sources

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